🤖 AI Nhận Định

<think>
Okay, let me try to work through this. The user is asking for a technical analysis of MKRUSDT on the 1-hour chart. They provided the current price at 1899.5, along with various indicators like EMA7 and EMA25, RSI, MACD, support and resistance levels, and volume data.

First, I should recall what each indicator represents. EMA7 and EMA25 are exponential moving averages. If the current price is below both EMAs, that could suggest a downward trend. Here, EMA25 is at 1933 and EMA7 is 1910.86. The current price is 1899.5, which is below both, so that's bearish.

RSI is 34.63, which is below 30, indicating oversold conditions. But in technical analysis, oversold doesn't always mean a buy immediately; it can stay oversold longer. But combined with other factors, maybe a support level is relevant here. Support is at 1834, which is not too far from the current price.

The MACD line is -14.78, and since MACD is negative, that suggests bearish momentum. But MACD also has signal lines and histogram; maybe the user just provided the MACD line value. It's important to consider if it's below its signal line, which can indicate bearish momentum continuing.

Volume is average at 123.78, but the volume trend is decreasing. Lower volume might mean less conviction in the current move. This might suggest that the downward momentum might not be strong enough.

Putting this together: price is below both EMAs, RSI is oversold but the trend is still bearish with MACD and volume decreasing. However, near the support level (1834) could offer a possible bounce. The resistance is at 2035.

For the decision to go long or short, since it's near support and RSI is oversold, maybe a short-term bounce might happen. So perhaps a short position with a stop above the EMAs, or a long entry if it breaks support? Wait, if it's near support and the price is at 1899.5 with support at 1834, so there's still room down, but maybe the oversold RSI suggests a possible short-term reversal. Alternatively, maybe a long entry if support holds, but the MACD is negative, which complicates things.

Wait, the resistance is up at 2035, so if price can't break EMAs, maybe continue down. Since volume is decreasing, there might be a pause, so maybe a short with a tight stop? Alternatively, if it breaks support, then it's a strong downward trend, but that's a different scenario.

Given that the price is below both EMAs (7 and 25), that's bearish. RSI oversold could mean a temporary bounce, so maybe a short with a stop above the EMA7 (1910ish). Target towards 1834 support. Alternatively, if the price goes back up to EMAs and can't hold, maybe a trend continuation. But with RSI low, a bounce might occur first.

So maybe a short position with a stop around EMA7 at 1910-1915. But the user also wants the best long/short recommendation. Maybe recommend a short below the current price but with RSI in oversold, wait for a bounce? Or enter a short on a retest of resistance?

Alternatively, entry points: if the price breaks the support at 1834, that's a stronger signal for further decline. But currently near there, maybe look for support holding. Alternatively, since price is near support and RSI low, a long trade if support holds with a stop below 1834.

Hmm, there's conflicting signals. RSI is oversold, suggesting a potential rebound. Maybe a long entry near support with a stop under 1834, and target back up towards EMAs. But the EMAs are still above, which are resistance. If price bounces off support, then maybe break EMAs again.

Alternatively, MACD is negative but possibly converging upwards? Not sure without more data. But since the user specifies the MACD value, which is negative, indicating bearish, but in the 1h chart, short time frame.

Overall, considering price is at support and RSI is low, a short might not be ideal as it could be a buying opportunity. So best to consider support as a possible reversal. Therefore, maybe a long entry with a stop below support, taking profit towards EMAs.

But need to check the volume trend. Since volume is decreasing, maybe the downward momentum is fading, so a bounce is possible, hence long. So best suggestion: Long at current price 1899.5, stop below 1834, target maybe previous EMA25 at 1933. Alternatively, wait for a breakout above EMAs for confirmation.

But since it's near support, that suggests support might hold. Hence, the best spot to buy (long) would be at current price near support, anticipating a rebound. Risk management: stop below support.

Alternatively, if there's a bounce, then go long when it breaks above 1910, but since it's already below EMAs, maybe the resistance there will be hard to break. Hmm.

Wait, the current price is 1899.5, below EMA25 (1933) and EMA7 (1910).85). So price is below support, but the support is 1834. The current price is above support. Wait, the support is 1834. So 1899 is above support, but below both EMAs.

The EMA7 crossing down EMA25 might form a death cross, but need to check if that's recent. Maybe recent price action is dipping towards support.

So the technical picture: nearing support, RSI oversold. Short-term support could hold, leading to a rebound. Therefore, possibly a long setup here. The best spot is to go long near current levels, expecting bounce. But since price is still dipping towards support, need to consider waiting for a confluence of support and maybe a RSI bounce above 30.

Alternatively, enter a long at support, say a break above 1910 (EMA7) confirms, but currently price is below.

Given the data, maybe the best advice is to go long at current spot price (1899.5), target near EMAs or resistance, with a stop below support. Or wait for a pullback to support for better entry.

The best price to buy spot would be at current price around 1899.5, since it's approaching support and possible overextended on the down side.

Wait, but MACD is negative with downward trend? If the MACD line is negative but RSI oversold, maybe the bearish momentum is weakening.

The volume trend is decreasing, which could mean less selling pressure.

So putting it all together, maybe a long trade is better here. So the best recommendation is to go long here, with stop below support at 1834, target EMA7 or resistance. But need to check the exact targets based on the user's given resistance is 2035, but near term could be first target at EMA7 at 1910.

Alternatively, a short might be too late because already approaching support.

Alternatively, the safest is to enter long around current price, with stop at support.

So the recommendation would be Long with a stop slightly below support, entry at 1899.5, target 1933 or higher, since support holds.

So the conclusion is Long with those parameters, and the best price to buy spot is now at 1899.5 since it's approaching support and RSI oversold.
</think>

**Phân tích kỹ thuật:**
Giá đang ở dưới cả EMA7 (1911) và EMA25 (1933), RSI (35) tiếp cận vùng oversold (dưới 30) nhưng chưa đảo chiều. MACD âm cho thấy áp lực bán còn tiếp tục. Dòng lượng giảm cho thấy lực bán yếu đi. Kháng cự gần: EMA7 (1911), hỗ trợ gần: 1834.

**Lời khuyên chiến lược:**
- **Phán bướm (Short):**
- **Bên bán vẫn kiểm soát** khi giá giữ dưới EMA25 (1933).3).
- **Vị trí vào lệnh:** 1899.5 (hiện tại) → Mục tiêu đến hỗ trợ 1834, sau đó có thể về 1800–1810.
- **Stop-loss:** Trên EMA7 (1912) → **Cân nhắc Short hiện tại khi RSI oversold, nhưng chỉ số lực chưa mạnh.**

- **Mua (Long):**
- Nếu giá **break resistance EMA7 (1911)** xác nhận xu hướng đảo chiều, mua với stop dưới 1905.
- **Không nên mua ngay** ở mức 1899.5 vì xu hướng downtrend vẫn mạnh.

**Giá mua SPOT tốt nhất:** **Giữ quan điểm ngắn hạn bán (Short) cho đến khi break 1911!** Nến tiếp theo breakout hỗ trợ 1834 → có thể đi sâu nữa.

**Lưu ý:** Theo khung 1h, rủi ro cao ở vùng giá này vì áp lực bán chưa hết. Nếu bạn long, chỉ vào khi giá bật lại từ 1834–1850 kèm RSI lên trên 35.