🤖 AI Nhận Định

<think>
Okay, let's see. I need to analyze EGLDUSDT on the weekly chart. The user provided several indicators. The current price is 13.1, which is below both EMA7 (14.32) and EMA25 (19.01). That's bearish because the price is under the moving averages. The RSI is 38.67, which is below 50, indicating oversold conditions maybe? But RSI here is not extremely low, so maybe just a bearish trend. MACD is negative (-3.76) and the histogram is likely below the signal line, suggesting downward momentum. The resistance is at 78.1, which is way higher, so the immediate resistance to watch is maybe closer? Wait, the support is 11.4. Volume is decreasing, which usually means lack of interest, so trend might continue but with less strength?

Hmm, so putting this together. The price is below both EMAs, MACD negative, RSI in bearish territory, support is 11.4, and volume decreasing. That points to a downtrend. So maybe recommend a short position. The best price to short could be near resistance if price bounces back, but since it's already below, maybe wait for a test of support? Or take a short now, with a stop above EMA7 or EMA25? The best entry for short would be if there's a rejection at resistance, but since resistance is so high, maybe the nearest support is the key. Alternatively, if price breaks below 11.4, that's a downside signal. So, shorting with stop loss above 14.32 (EMA7) and target around support? Or maybe the next support level.

Alternatively, maybe the price is near the support (11.4) already. Wait, current price is 13.1, which is above support. So support is at 11.4, so maybe there's a potential downside. Since volume is decreasing, the move might be gradual. Maybe look for pullbacks to the EMAs to enter a short? Or the best spot price to buy is not clear here since everything's pointing down. Maybe the best spot to go long would be if price bounces off support and crosses EMA7 with increasing volume, but that's not happening now.

So maybe the best course is to short near current price with target at support 11.4, stop loss above EMA7. But the user is asking for best long or short position and best spot price. Since the trend is bearish, short is better. The best spot to buy (long) would be when price hits support and reverses, but at current price 13.1, it's probably risky to go long. So the recommendation should prioritize shorting with a stop above 14.32 and target 11.4. Also, volume decreasing suggests a possible continuation but with less force, so maybe a pullback is needed before the next leg down. Wait, but if price is below EMAs and momentum is bearish, maybe the short setup is valid.

Wait, but EMA25 is way higher (19 vs current price 13), so the long-term trend is still down. So I think the advice is to look for short entry around current price, or wait for a bounce to 14.32 (EMA7) to retest and then short again if it breaks lower. Alternatively, since resistance is at 78 which is very high, maybe there's an error or maybe it's a typo, but the user provided that. Maybe the nearest resistance to concern is EMA25. Hmm. Maybe the key points are: downside support at 11.4, current below EMAs, bearish momentum, so shorting is better. Buy spot isn't good yet. So best to short below EMA7, target 11.4, stop loss above 14.32. Maybe that's the advice. Need to confirm the entries.
</think>

**Phân tích kỹ thuật EGLD/USDT (khung 1w):**
- **Giá hiện tại (13.1):** Xuống dưới cả EMA7 (14.32) và EMA25 (19.01), cho thấy áp lực bán mạnh.
- **RSI (38.67):** Ở vùng bán, gia tăng khả năng đảo chiều giảm tiếp (chưa oversold).
- **MACD (-3.76):** Biểu đồ Histogram nằm sâu dưới Zero line, xác nhận xu hướng downtrend.
- **Kháng cự (78.1) và Hỗ trợ (11.4):** Giá đang cách xa kháng cự, hỗ trợ gần nhất là 11.4.
- **KLeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee26, Hỗ trợ: 11.4, Khối lượng đang giảm, cho thấy áp lực bán gia tăng.

**Lời khuyên:**
- **Short:** Vào lệnh tại **13.1** hoặc chờ pullback về EMA7 (14.32) để tiếp tục xuống.
- **Mức chốt lời:** 11.4 (hỗ trợ chính).
- **Chốt lời ngưỡng an toàn:** Nếu giá phá vỡ 11.4, mở rộng mục tiêu đến 10.0–10.5.
- **Stop-loss:** Đặt trên EMA7 (14.32) hoặc 15.0 để phòng đảo chiều.
- **Tránh mua (Long):** Chỉ рассмотривать nếu giá bứt qua EMA7 (14.32) kèm volume tăng đột biến.

**Gợi ý giao dịch hiện tại:** Short tại 13.1, target 11.4, stop-loss trên 14.32.