← Back to Home

πŸ“Š Analysis: TONUSDT (4h)

Price: 3.191 | EMA7: 3.2 | EMA25: 3.23 | RSI14: 45.18 | Resistance: 3.698 | Support: 2.963 | Average Volume: 1676771.69 | Volume Trend: Decreasing

πŸ€– AI Insight


<think>
Okay, let me tackle this TONUSDT analysis. The user wants a technical analysis at the 4-hour chart. The current price is below both the EMA7 and EMA25, which are 3.204 and 3.229 respectively. That suggests a short-term downtrend because the price is under the moving averages. The RSI is at 45, which is neutral but slightly leaning towards oversold territory. Since it's not yet below 30, maybe not a strong buy signal yet.

MACD is negative (-0.0069), and if the MACD line is below the signal line, that's bearish. But I need to confirm if the lines are crossing. Wait, the user didn't mention the signal line value, so maybe just focus on the given MACD value being negative, which supports the downtrend.

Resistance is at 3.698 and support at 2.963. Since price is near EMAs, maybe a short entry if it can't break EMA7 upwards? Alternatively, if price drops below support, that's a stronger sell signal. But the support is quite a bit lower, so maybe a short entry just below EMA7? Let's see, current price is 3.191, EMA7 is 3.204. So a short could be around 3.205, and stop loss above EMA25 at 3.22? Or maybe wait for a break of support?

Also, volume is decreasing, which might indicate a lack of momentum. Lower volume on a potential dip could mean the downward move is weakening. Hmm, so maybe a short with a higher stop loss?

For a long entry, if price can bounce off the support at 2.96, then buying there, but the volume trend is decreasing, so maybe less confident. Alternatively, if price breaks resistance, but resistance is way up at 3.698, which is unlikely from current price.

Wait, the user also wants the best long/short entry prices and the best spot buy price. Let me structure:

Short entry could be when price breaks below EMA25 (3.229), but currently it's already below both EMAs, so perhaps wait for a bounce test of these EMAs again. Maybe a short entry at 3.22 or 3.20 when it hits EMA7 again. Alternatively, since RSI is at 45, maybe a short when RSI rises to 50, then dips again? Not sure.

The Best Spot Buy Price might be if price drops to support (2.963) with increasing volume, but since volume is decreasing, maybe a better entry above support with some bounce. Alternatively, the EMAs crossing upwards?

Hmm, maybe:

- Short Entry: If price can't hold EMA7 (3.204), then short atηͺη ΄ below 3.18 or towards support?

Alternatively, wait for a confirmation of breakdown below support? Not sure. Alternatively, using the EMAs: since price is below both, maybe short entry near current price but with a stop above recent high or EMA25.

Alternatively, looking at the current price being below both EMAs and MACD negative, the bias is down. Therefore, short entry could be triggered on a rejection at EMA25 or EMA7. Alternatively, set a short entry at 3.20 (EMA7) with stop above that. Target could be the support at 2.963.

Long entry might need a bullish cross of EMAs or a significant breakout above resistance, but given the current RSI not too low yet, maybe a long at support if price holds.

Best spot buy price might be at support if there's a bounce, but volume is decreasing, so maybe not a strong signal. Alternatively, wait for a reversal indicator.

Hmm, perhaps:

Short Entry: 3.20 (EMA7), Stop loss: 3.23 (EMA25), Target at 2.963 (support).

Long Entry: 2.96 (support) with confirmation.

But I have to be careful. Alternatively, since RSI at 45, it's neither overbought nor oversold. The average volume is 1.6 million, and it's decreasing, which might indicate weakening bearish momentum. Maybe a possible reversal coming? So maybe not the strongest short signal yet.

Wait, maybe a better short entry when price climbs back to EMA25 (3.229) to enter short with stop above that. If it breaks down from there, take profit at support.

Alternatively, since the price is below both EMAs and MACD negative, the trend favors short. The next support is 2.96, so selling near the resistance of EMA25 could be a short entry.

Best Buy (Long) could be at support, but need confirmation.

Trying to be concise per user's requirement. Need to list the entries and spot buy clearly.
</think>

**Technical Analysis of TONUSDT (4h):**
- **Price Trend:** Bearish bias as price (3.191) is below both EMA7 (3.204) and EMA25 (3.229).
- **RSI (45.18):** Neutral, mildly bearish (no oversold/overbought signal).
- **MACD (-0.007):** Negative, supporting downtrend.
- **Volume Trend:** Declining, suggesting weakening momentum.

**Recommendations:**
- **Short Entry (Bearish):**
- **Entry Price:** Wait for a rejection at EMA7 (3.204). If price bounces, short at **3.205**, targeting next support at **3.00-2.963**.
- **Stop-Loss:** Above EMA25 at **3.24** (or 3-5% above entry).

- **Long Entry (Bullish):**
- **Entry Price:** **2.963** (support) if price holds and RSI confirms oversold (below 30).
- **Stop-Loss:** Below **2.90**.

- **Best Spot Buy (Immediate):** Avoid buying at current levels (3.19). Wait for a confirmed rebound from support or EMA25 resistance break.

**Key Levels:**
- Resistance: 3.204 (EMA7), 3.229 (EMA25).
- Support: **2.963** (critical).

Avoid aggressive longs until momentum reverses. Focus on short/bearish plays with tight stops.